Future thinking bias
Why is it so hard to think strategically?
Why is it so hard to think strategically?
The Watergate scandal, the Boston Globe investigation of the Catholic Church, the Panama papers, and other publications of that kind are often called “shocking.” Commenters say that they “shake the world.” But what makes them shocking for people not personally involved in the issue? Why do citizens of a country often feel upset if they learn that their president is corrupt? Why do people who are not Catholic Church parishioners and who don’t have small children feel deeply sad when they read articles on the cases of sexual abuse in the church?
Imagine you accidentally found out that your life partner secretly had another romantic affair or that your father was a criminal. What feelings would you feel? Of course, there would be several different feelings, but you would most likely feel that your “world is ruined” by the news. And this is not only a metaphor.
Mental models
The world is too large and complex, and no one can know everything about it. …